The Market Mastery Protege Program

15 June 2010

Bill Poulos is going to reveal the actual daily trading plan he and his most advanced students use to spot the 4 low-risk, high-potential “profit pockets” that can occur on almost any stock chart.

The Market Mastery Protege Program online training session, Tuesday, June 15th will be repeated 3 times at 12pm, 4pm, and 9pm EST.

Bill Poulos will show…

* How he “fast filters” stocks…

* How he automatically gets “spoon fed” the highest-potential tradeable stocks every night via his special “Profit Feeder” report…

* How to trade his 4 “Market Mastery” methods against the “hard right edge” (when you don’t know what the next day looks like)…

* How to “add on” his “F_R_E_E Trade Strategy” to any trading method you’re currently using – it’s his favorite way of taking as much profit potential as possible…

* His time-tested risk management strategy inspired by Albert Einstein, yet so simple to execute that an 8th grader could do it…

Capacity on the training sessions is limited so reserve your seat now and make sure you can get in the room before the training begins.

You can “choose your slot”, 12pm, 4pm, and 9pm EST (New York time).

The contents of this report are for information purposes only.

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14, June 2010

This morning the Office of Budget Responsibility delivers its first independent assessment of the outlook for the British economy and the budget deficit. This has some important ramifications for the British Pound in the both the short and log run.

We will get the first glimpse of whether the scorched earth legacy supposedly left by the previous Government is as bad the new Government has said it is – and a downbeat fiscal forecast would undoubtedly see a fall in the value of the Pound. However, the Chancellor would love to see the forecasts confirm the message he has been driving home, namely that to get the British economy back on the road to recovery, deep cuts to government spending are needed.

Returning Britain to long term sustainable growth would see the Sterling rise towards it long run average levels against the Euro and the Dollar (but it is far from clear if demand in the economy after the cuts are implemented will be able to support growth in the medium term)

The quarterly inflation report from the Bank of England also released this morning suggests the market expects interest rates to stay low for an extended period. Spencer Dale, chief economist at the Bank, highlighted the Eurozone fiscal crisis as the main concern over UK growth and said that Britain will continue to suffer the ill effects of the crisis even as the economic recovery continues.

Mixed messages from the Bank however as Andrew Sentence, member of the MPC, raised the possibility of higher interest rates (due to far lower excess capacity in the economy than the bank originally thought and the higher inflation that this may produce). Sentence suggested rates may rise as early as the second half of the year. Early today we saw Sterling trading strongly on the back of this news.

On Friday, currency markets continued to track the swings in global investor sentiment. European stocks extended earlier gains in the US and Asia. There was some market chatter arising from a press article that the EU was preparing to activate a rescue package in case Spain asked for it. However, Spanish-German bond spreads widened only slightly and EUR/USD easily held north of the 1.21 mark.

Italy also succeeded in selling all of their planned €7bn of bonds. EUR/USD even tested the key 1.2150 area going into the publication of the US retail sales data which came out at a disappointing -1.2% month-on-month. However, even as the figure was a disappointment, the damage for equities and also for EUR/USD was limited. A better than expected Michigan consumer confidence release also eased the potential negative impact of the retail data.

This week the main data releases are UK CPI and claimant count data and also inflation figures from the US later in the week.

Report by Alistair Cotton

Currency Market Updates by Tom Nadir

The contents of this report are for information purposes only.

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Bulls and Bears Battle It Out

The S&P 500 index trend is down and we are looking for it to remain that way for a while.

Because trading has been far from uncertain of late the battle between the Bulls and Bears continues. Who is winning is also unclear. The rally from a potential double bottom is cause for concern for the Bears, however the Bulls are in a similar situation as they have to prove their case with sustained market action.

This market analysis video shows some of the key levels that are important in the S&P 500 market. Volume continues to to be light and consequently the markets are watching for signs and are volatile at the moment.

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Yahoo Finance Video 3: Prechter: Bank Reform Will Shrink Credit and Kill the Economy

The Senate version of financial regulation is bad for business on Wall Street and, according to the Wall Street Journal, could cut the profits of major financial institutions by roughly 20%. Find out why Robert Prechter thinks it’s also bad for the economy in the third excerpt from Robert Prechter’s May 20 interview with Yahoo! Finance Tech Ticker host Aaron Task.

Get Robert Prechter’s FREE 60-Page Deflation Survival Guide
With you in mind, financial analyst Robert Prechter scoured thousands of pages of his warnings and teachings about deflation. He then handpicked his most important deflation writings and compiled them into a special, unedited, 60-page Deflation Survival Guide. If you havent yet given Prechter’s deflation argument your full attention, you should know now that yesterday was the best time to do so. Download Your 60-page Deflation Survival Guide Now FREE.

About the Publisher, Elliott Wave International
Founded in 1979 by Robert R. Prechter Jr., Elliott Wave International (EWI) is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.


 

 

9 June 2010

Sterling held steady yesterday as the reintroduction of a star chamber to quiz ministers on spending decisions marked the start of the Governments formidable challenge of reducing its €156 billion budget deficit. The last time a star chamber was in use was under Margaret Thatcher, but even she did not face cuts of the scale that now face George Osborne.

To maintain a triple AAA rating, Britain must cut £92 Billion (or roughly the annual National Health Service budget) over the next five years according to the credit rating agency Fitch and Mr Osborne made it clear to MP’s yesterday that the role of the State is about to change significantly.

UK social security payments, tax credits and public sector pensions are likely to bear the brunt of any cuts, which may end up being as high as 20 per cent. Mr Osborne cited the example of Canada, which faced similar difficulties to the UK in the 1990’s, but successfully turned a large budget deficit into surplus by strongly challenging ministerial spending decisions. What he failed to point out was the Canadian restructuring was achieved in a period of strong world growth with foreign demand able to replace government spending.

We are certainly not in this situation now, and we are far from a consensus over whether current fiscal tightening will put Britain back on the long term path to growth or tip the economy back into recession. This uncertainty is reflected in the markets; Sterling is treading water in the run up to the Bank of England meeting tomorrow and the Emergency budget on the 22 of June.

The euro broke the physiologically important 1.20 level against the dollar on Monday and continues to trade weakly against all the major currencies. This morning there are reports that Spanish banks are having difficulty accessing funding in the European interbank markets, an ominous sign if true.

The contagion from Eurozone members to periphery nations continues to spread with Hungarian Ministers stating their economy was left in a perilous state by the previous government, sparking significant price action in the Florint-Swiss pair. ECB head Jean-Claude Trichet speaks today ahead of the official policy meeting tomorrow and his words will be watched closely for any changes in stance or signals of the outcome of the meeting.

The dollar continues to perform strongly as the safe haven currency, against sterling we saw a slight rebound yesterday as Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke suggested the US economy was on track and had gained “a good bit of momentum” in consumer spending and investment. The US Stock market also finished yesterday in positive territory and with data from China showing export growth of 50% yoy, we may see a return to risk today and the corresponding move out of dollars and into riskier currencies.

Report by Alistair Cotton

Currency Market Updates by Tom Nadir

The contents of this report are for information purposes only.

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7 June 2010

“The Euro will be dead in five years”- the startling view from an interview with 25 leading city economists in Sunday newspaper this weekend.

The article suggests that the 16 state currency may not continue in its existing membership “for a week let alone the next five years”. In the first major collection of City opinions since the election, the findings suggest that the new government will face a serious full-scale crisis with their biggest trading partner in their first few years in office.

The latest European administration to worry the markets is the new Fidesz Hungarian government, who suggested their predecessors had mis-led the population and markets about the financial state of the country. In order to try and prepare the population for the strict austerity measures that they will need to introduce, a newly appointed senior member of the government stated that Hungary has only “a slim chance” to avoid a “Greek situation”.

So with markets still concerned how the untried Fidesz Party are intending to marry up their populist policies with the austerity demanded by the IMF in return for its ongoing aid programme, the government’s first action was an apparent threat of default. Given the Eurozone countries’ exposure to Hungary, it is no wonder that the Euro dropped in value. Concerted fire-fighting has limited further erosion this morning but EUR/USD has hit a new low of 1.1873 over night.

Over to the US and the Non Farm Payroll. It was a disappointing Jobs report on Friday afternoon after figures suggested that 431,000 jobs were added to the economy in the month of May after it was widely considered to be in excess of 500k. In addition to the top line weak data, the fact that temporary census workers accounted for 411,000 of the jobs could suggest that Uncle Sam’s recovery could be slowing.

Finally, UK Prime Minister, David Cameron, has spoken this morning and given a stark warning about the action needed to tackle Britain’s budget deficit and public debt. His key take outs were:

* Overall scale of deficit problem is even worse than we thought

* Potential consequences of deficit more critical than we feared

* Last government’s estimates show debt interest payments at 70 bln in 5 years

* Economic growth will not fix borrowing as much of deficit is structural

In terms of significant data this week we have an interest rate decision on Thursday in the UK and Retail Sales figure in the US on Friday.

Report by Philip Ryan

Currency Market Updates by Tom Nadir

The contents of this report are for information purposes only.

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4 June 2010

US non-farm payrolls are one of the most important data releases in the currency markets, since jobs (preferably good ones at that!) are the lifeblood of any economy. Today sees the June release of the figures, with an estimated 508,000 jobs added in May, by far the largest estimate ever.

Adding over 500,000 jobs to the economy would hearten even the biggest bears and, you would think, be strongly positive for the Dollar. But there is much more to this number than meets the eye. Firstly, the ranges of forecasts are the broadest ever, with the lowest coming in at 100,000 jobs added and the highest at 750,000. Given the past records of the economists making the forecasts (the average ‘miss’ is 70,000 jobs) we could be looking at the largest forecast error on record as well.

The problem then becomes deciding what will happen to Dollar after the release. A huge ‘miss’ of 200,000 means the US would still have added over 300,000 jobs in May but the Dollar may still fall on the back of it. If the forecasts are correct and we see a gain of over 500,000 (as said before the largest ever). If the market has priced this in we may see no move at all. The conclusion? What seems like extremely bullish data at first glance may be the largest but also the strangest and most confused NFP data ever.

The Euro is retesting lows seen two weeks ago as data from the ECB showed Eurozone banks depositing record amounts of cash in the ECBs overnight facility. Increasing worries over loan losses and sovereign default means banks would rather keep funds at the Central Bank than lend it out in the inter-bank money markets. Alongside the jittery banks, European consumers continue to hang on to their cash instead of spending, with retail sales figures again disappointing.

Data showed a monthly fall of 1.2 per cent against a forecast gain of 0.1%. Although we have seen a tightening of late, Spanish, Italian and Greek bond spreads over the German Bund have begun to widen again reflecting the fact that the Euro problem still has a long time yet to run and that the initial effects of the ECB bond buying scheme has started to wear off. GDP data released today will hopefully help to arrest some of the decline.

Sterling looks set to finish the week slightly up having dropped back from the highs of Wednesday when the AIA-PRU deal broke down. Any BP dividend cut resulting from the saga in the gulf of Mexico will likely push Sterling down further as traders anticipate that the usual USD/GBP transactions in the run up to the dividend payment will be reduced or may not happen at all. Sterling may also face downside pressure from the anticipated CGT increase as assets are sold off to take advantage of the lower current rate.

Look for light trading conditions this morning as we await non farm payrolls but as mentioned above depending on what number we get, we may be in for choppy seas this afternoon.

Report by Alistair Cotton

Currency Market Updates by Tom Nadir

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2 June 2010

Yesterday, Cable had its best 24 hours in recent weeks as the Prudential-AIA deal collapsed inducing a 260 pip rally. This welcome boost for Sterling came through the unwinding of billions of dollars bought in anticipation of a merger with one of South East Asia’s largest insurers.

In addition to the Greenback sell off, the pound found support with positive PMI manufacturing data for May reaching 58, a 16 year high and good housing data from the Land Registry report which indicated home prices rose 8.5% yoy, the fastest rise since September 2007.

It was another poor day for the Euro yesterday, with worrying signs that the euro zone debt crisis may be spreading to the banking system. Spain’s second largest savings bank Caja Madrid is understood to have sought a bailout package worth €3 billion from a government rescue fund.

This is a double hammer for the bank who only last week had its rating placed on Credit Watch negative by Standard & Poor’s, which expects pressure on profits this year. This is further bad news for the Bank of Spain as they push for mergers amongst the smaller saving banks.

The news sent shock waves into the markets, the Euro fell to a 4 year low against the Dollar and currently sits at 1.2233 and 1.1993 against Sterling at the time of writing.

It was a mix bag of European data yesterday with EU statistics estimated that 10.1% of EU citizens were unemployed and increase of 0.1% month on month. However Germany indicated positive unemployment data falling from 7.8% to 7.7%. Furthermore boosts in export as a result of the weaker Euro drove the positive GDP growth in Germany, France and Spain for the first quarter of the year.

Finally, US manufacturing data from overnight was certainly positive amid signs that the US economy might indeed be able to reinvent itself as a manufacturing hub. The data out of China yesterday was certainly not particularly good but if the US economy is stable, then the world economy stands a chance of staying healthy in the long term.

Report by Philip Ryan

Currency Market Updates by Tom Nadir

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28 May 2010

This morning brought a surge of Euro strength to the markets as traders and investors alike bought into the single currency. With Italy following Spain, Portugal and Greece with a statement on its austerity measures, the Eurozone PIGS finally understand the severity of the problem.

Unfortunately, it could be too late for Greece with reports in the FT claiming that “public debt to gross domestic product forecast to hit 150%”, which makes it hard to believe the country will correct its problems before the aid runs out. This story clearly has a long way to run.

Sterling continues to trade above 1.17 versus the euro, after hitting an eleven month high yesterday. The UK currency was buoyed by talk of a take-over bid by Prudential for AIG’s Asian business, with the speculation also lifting sterling versus the dollar.

However, further momentum for sterling is limited after news that UK consumer confidence fell for the third consecutive month in May, reflecting uncertainty ahead of the election result and the prospect of fiscal tightening once a new government was in power.

In other forex related news, according to figures released yesterday afternoon, the US economy grew in the first quarter at a slower pace than previously calculated, reflecting smaller gains in consumer and business spending and highlighting the risks to the recovery posed by the European debt crisis. The 3 percent increase in the annual rate of GDP was less than forecast and compares with the advanced estimate of 3.2 percent issued last month.

Out later today, Friday sees the release of a whole raft of US data including April personal income, personal consumption, the core personal consumption price index, the May Chicago PMI and the revised May University of Michigan consumer sentiment index.

The Australian dollar headed for its first five day advance in more than a month as Asian equities extended a global rally, boosting demand for higher yielding assets. After previously dropping 7.4 percent so far in May, the Australian Dollar surged this week after China’s foreign exchange regulator affirmed its commitment to investing in Europe, triggering rallies in stocks and commodities.


Report by Tim Lewis

Currency Market Updates by Tom Nadir

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26 May 2010

Yesterday was packed full of announcements from the Eurozone, some welcome some not. First, Italy followed Greece, Spain and Portugal in outlining €20bln of government savings aimed at bringing their deficit below the EU threshold by 2012.

Second, Spain announced the merger of four regional savings banks to one, in the process creating its fifth largest financial institution and, it is hoped, bringing much needed stability to the beleaguered Spanish banking system. The shotgun marriage comes hot on the heels of the Spanish Governments rescue of Caja Sur, another regional lender, after its own merger fell through at the final hurdle.

The not so welcome news is that Germany is looking to extend the ban on short selling to all shares (this is extended from government bonds, credit default swaps and the top 10 German financial institutions). Quite how this unilateral ban will work when it looks as though we are entering a fully blown bear market in not clear, but we do expect continued volatility in the EURUSD and the GBPEUR pair as investors try to gain from falling markets.

In Britain, the new coalition government announced their plans for the new parliament with a raft of new bills outlined in the Queen’s speech. The highlights and those most likely to affect the FX markets include the Office of Budget Responsibility Bill, which will take economic forecasting out of the Treasury’s hands and the financial reform bill which will break up the tripartite system and will also investigate bank levy’s and the breaking up of large banks.

All the announcements had zero impact on Sterling yesterday, as did the revision upwards to of GDP figures, events abroad are deemed much more important at the moment in valuing the Pound.

Today is quiet on the data front, we have USD Durable orders new home sales but the markets are waiting for the US GDP numbers due out tomorrow.

Report by Alistair Cotton

Currency Market Updates by Tom Nadir

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25 May 2010

The euro weakened for a second day against the US Dollar, the Japanese Yen and the British Pound as signs the European debt crisis is spreading revived concern the region’s recovery will slow. In particular, the 16 nation currency fell to within one yen of its weakest point in more than eight years after the IMF urged Spain to do more to overhaul its ailing banks.

Markets are concerned about what policy makers can do to contain the debt crisis should it spread from Greece to bigger nations like Spain and Italy. The IMF welcomed the new Spanish austerity measures, referring to plans to rein in its budget deficit with the deepest cuts in three decades but expressed concern over its banking industry and the slow reaction in consolidating ailing lenders with stronger partners. The EUR/USD is now back trading close to the May 19th four year low.

Despite recent acceptable data from the Eurozone countries themselves, there is a real fear that the recovery will sputter to a halt amidst the internal wrangling of how to deal with the spiraling funding crisis. This will obviously have a knock on effect towards the global recovery, with the UK especially exposed to a weaker European market.

Sterling has accordingly been shorted aggressively, but largely against just the Dollar and the Yen. It has managed to gain slightly against the Euro on the back of QoQ GDP coming in as expected at 0.3%.

The US was decidedly quiet yesterday although we are still experiencing US$ LIBOR ticking higher on a daily basis adding further fuel to the Dollar strength argument. The market appears to be waiting for anything tangible on exchange rates emerging from Geithner’s meeting with Chinese officials.

Yesterday they appeared to skirt the issue and spent most of their session together discussing Europe and the implications to both countries of the current situation. Today’s final session could be more interesting.

This afternoon we are scheduled to get the latest US consumer confidence figure for May which is expected to show a pick up in confidence. Equities, falling bond yields and rising short end interest costs will provide more influence.

Report by Tim Lewis

Currency Market Updates by Tom Nadir

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24 May 2010

The Euro recovered somewhat on Friday, reaching a one week high against the Greenback as buyers returned to the Euro and halted the currency’s decline. This welcome support came on the news that EU officials pledged to tighten sanctions on high-deficit member countries and said that no European country will be allowed to renege on its debts.

In the UK, today sees the start of a new age of austerity as the Government announces £6 billion of immediate spending reductions, paving the way for much deeper cuts in the future. The Liberal-Conservative coalition is hoping that these initial cuts will prepare the population for severe fiscal measures next year with reports of up to 300,000 public sector redundancies. Despite these unpopular decisions, markets have been indicating that they want these measures in place if Sterling is to recover against the majors in the long term.

In the early session this morning, the Euro has given back some of these gains with traders reported to be selling into the bounce on ongoing concerns about the outlook for the Eurozone. To add the Euro’s problems, concerns that the EU credit crisis is spreading with the announcement that the Bank of Spain is to take over the running of one of the country’s saving’s banks.

This pushed the Euro lower against the dollar and sterling from highs of $1.2510 and $0.8635 respectively. However the Euro remains well off last week’s four year low of $1.2146, as markets awaits further developments in terms of the sovereign risk issue.

A relatively quiet week in terms of data with only UK and US GDP figures of note but all eyes will remain on the UK and Eurozone countries as they announce their individual austerity measures.

Report by Philip Ryan

Currency Market Updates by Tom Nadir

The contents of this report are for information purposes only.

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Have we seen the euro bottom out?

Europe is under severe pressure with all the huge economic problems surrounding Greece followed by Portugal, Spain and Italy particularly. The PIGS of Europe. All this economic uncertainty and the huge bail out packages has had a dramatic affect on the performance of the euro over recent months.

The Eurozone countries are accountable to the other 16 nations who gave up their own currency to join so cannot print money at will to inflate themselves out of the problems as they can in the US.

We could be seeing some strong opportunities in this market as this video highlights.

Video: Don’t be surprised when one euro equals one dollar!

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21 May 2010

Stock markets around the world suffered further falls yesterday as investors continued to unwind risky positions and move into calmer waters. The problems in the Eurozone have been the driving force behind the huge market movements we have seen across the currencies over the past few days.

China has been powering the world’s economy over many years, but with Europe its largest customer, investors fear a European induced Chinese slowdown would derail any economic recovery. Hedge funds are reported to be reversing positions to preserve capital, most notably in the Aussie dollar pairs, which have seen large swings in value over the past few days.

Disappointing economic data yesterday from the USA showing a surprise increase of 25,000 in jobless claims and poor Eurozone consumer confidence figures exacerbated the negative sentiment in the market yesterday.

Sterling fell to its lowest level in 13 months against the Dollar driven by the rush into the safe haven rather than anything Sterling based. Retails sales showed a third straight month of increases, a positive bit of data for the UK that was shrugged off very quickly by the market.

Sterling sentiment remains weak, so expect the Pound to come under further pressure as risk is taken further off the table. With the EU meeting today to attempt to shore up, the the Euro-Sterling is trading down, but expect large moves in the pair today as news starts to emerge about any plans ministers have to avert any break-up of the Eurozone.

Last night, the US Senate approved the financial reform bill after lengthy negotiations. The legislation, penned as a response to the Credit Crunch will, amongst other things, stop deposit taking banks from trading on their own accounts (proprietary trading) and allow the government to seize control of a failing firm that is judged to be systematically important.

We will have to wait on the fine print, but this will almost certainly have large implications for the markets because the biggest players (the banks) will be forced into restructuring. The added uncertainty of how this will work is adding to fears over the Eurozone.

Today the key pieces of economic data are German IFO business climate and UK Public sector Net Borrowing.

Report by Report by Alistair Cotton.

Currency Market Updates by Tom Nadir

The contents of this report are for information purposes only.

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Today we have three new videos to watch. With so much nervousness in the market it is time for cutting out those emotions. Keeping to your game plan is emphasized in these poular markets.

To put it another way you need to keep your head screwed on firmly. Let’s take a look at the latest trading videos starting with the  S&P 500 first.

Video 1:  Has the S&P 500 topped out?

The crude oil market broke through an important support zone. See which levels are important and how important it is to use stops.

Video 2:
Crude oil breaks $70 a barrel, and we are short…

With gold making new highs, where should you be placing your short-term stops? (90 secs.)

Video 3: Where to place your stops in gold

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17 May 2010

The Euro has continued sliding against the Dollar, reaching the lowest level in four years. Concerns remain about the massive bailout package announced by the EU and IMF last week and how effective (or not) it might be addressing the core issue affecting troubled EU member states, namely huge fiscal deficits.

The ECB have been intervening directly in secondary bond markets, bringing some well needed stability and halting the huge volatility in yields over past couple of months. The side effect of the ECBs intervention has been to move all traders with negative view of the Eurozone from the bond market to currencies, and with EU officials publicly announcing the need for a weaker currency, it looks like a one way bet at the moment.

Most of the financial press over the weekend were calling for parity in the euro, but if the market is over sold we may see a short squeeze over the next few days before the Euro moves lower again.

The new UK Government is indicating that is making deficit reduction a priority, Chancellor George Osborne has just announced £6bn of savings the details of which will be announced next Monday. The emergency budget (EM) promised by the Tories in their manifesto will be on the 22nd of June.

The Office of Budget Responsibility (newly created by the Conservatives) will publish economic forecasts before the EM because Osborne thinks the market has completely lost confidence in the current Treasury forecasts (3.5% growth next year does seems on the high side). Sterling has rallied on the back of this but market sentiment seems still to be for further falls in Sterling against the Dollar.

In a busy week for data releases, in the UK we have the Bank of England minutes released on Wednesday, CPI figures on Tuesday and retail sales on Thursday. In the Eurozone we have Economic sentiment and CPI data and a large amount retail figures from member countries. With the market still jumpy, expect further volatility in the Euro pairs in the run up to the releases.

Report by Report by Alistair Cotton.

Currency Market Updates by Tom Nadir

The contents of this report are for information purposes only.

Contact Currencies Direct for Corporate or Private Transactions. Open an account today and save money.

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The Principal Advantages of Using Options.

Advantage #1 – Cost Efficiency

Options have great leveraging power. An investor can obtain an options trading position that will mimic a stock position almost identically but at huge cost savings. For instance, in order to purchase 200 shares of an $80 stock, an investor must pay out $16,000. If the investor purchases two $20 calls, the total outlay is only $4,000. The investor then has an additional $12,000 to use at his or her discretion. Obviously, it is not quite that simple.

The investor has to pick the proper call to purchase in order to mimic the stock position properly. Still, this stock replacement strategy is extremely viable and cost efficient. In addition, The Nasdaq recently petitioned the SEC to allow options to trade in pennies instead of nickels – a move which is extremely beneficial for individual investors.

Advantage #2 – Less Risk

With less money invested, there is less risk involved. This makes options trading less risky than stock trading. Options are also less risky because they are impervious to the potential catastrophic effects of gap openings.

Options are the most dependable form of hedge and are safer than stocks in many instances. When an investor purchases stock, they frequently place a stop loss order to protect the position. The stop order “stops” losses below a prefixed price as determined by the investor. The problem is the essence of the order itself. A stop order occurs when the stock trades at or below the limit as indicated in the order.

Let’s say you own a stock at $50 and you do not wish to lose anything more than 10% of your investment. You will place a $45 stop order. This order will become a market order to sell once the stock trades at or below $45. This order works during the day, but may have problems at night. You go to bed with the stock having closed at $51.

The next morning, when you wake up and turn on CNBC, you hear that there is breaking news on your stock. It seems that the CEO of the company has been lying about the earnings reports for quite some time. There are rumors of embezzlement. They expect the stock to open down around $20 making $20 the first trade below your stop order’s $45 limit price. When the stock opens, you sell at $20 locking in a significant loss. The stop loss order was not there for you when you needed it most!

However, if you purchased a put option for protection, you would not have suffered this catastrophic loss. Unlike stop-loss orders, options do not shut down when the market closes. They give you insurance 24 hours a day, seven days a week. This is something that stop orders cannot do… This is why I and many others, consider options the one and only perfect form of hedge

Advantage #3 – Higher Percentage Returns

Furthermore, as an alternative to purchasing the stock, you could have employed a stock replacement strategy where you purchase an in-the-money call instead of purchasing the stock. There are options that will mimic up to 85 percent of a stock’s performance, but cost one-quarter the price. If you purchased the $45 strike call instead of the stock, your loss would be limited to what you spent on the option. If you paid $6 for the option, you would have lost only that $6. Not the $31 you would have lost if you owned the stock.

You do not need a calculator to know that if you spend much less money and make almost the same profit that you have a higher percentage return. Options trading normally offers investors a much higher percentage return.

For example, using the scenario from above, let us compare the percentage returns of the stock (purchased for $50) and the option (purchased at $6). Let’s also say that the option has a delta of 80, meaning that the option’s price will change 80% of the stock’s price change. If the stock were to go up $5, your stock position would provide a 10% return. Your option position would gain 80% of the stock movement (due to its 80 deltas) or $4. A $4 gain on a $6 investment works out to be a 67% return – far superior to the 10% return on the stock.

Advantage #4 – More Strategic Alternatives

The final major advantage of options trading is that of increased investment alternatives. Options are an incredibly flexible tool. There are many ways to use options to recreate other positions. We call these positions synthetics, which give multiple ways of attaining the same investment goals. While synthetic positions are an advanced option topic, there are many other examples of how options offer strategic alternatives.

Many investors use a broker that charges a margin when they want to short a stock. This margin requirement is sometimes cost prohibitive when shorting stock. Some investors are involved with brokers that do not allow for the shorting of stocks by rule. No brokers have any rules against investors purchasing puts to play the downside. The inability to play the downside when needed virtually handcuffs investors and forces them into a one dimensional world while the market trades in 3D.

Options trading allows the investor to trade both the passage of time and movements in volatility – not just stock movements. Most stocks do not have large moves most of the time. Only a few stocks actually move significantly and then not too often. An investor’s ability to take advantage of stagnation could turn out to be the deciding factor in whether  or not your financial goals are attainable. Only options offer the strategic alternatives necessary to profit in every type of market.

Thanks to online brokerages, coupled with very low commission costs, retail investors now have the ability to use the most powerful tool in the investment industry just like the professionals do. Options! It is the dawn of a new era for individual investors and traders. Don’t be a dinosaur! Now it’s time to dedicate some time for learning how to trade options properly in your trading.

Guest Article by Ron Ianieri

Ron Ianieri enjoyed 14 years of experience as a floor trader on the Philadelphia Stock Exchange, including four years as the lead market maker in DELL computer options – one of the busiest books in history. He is currently chief options strategist and co-founder of The Options University, an options trading educational company that teaches investors how to make consistent profits using options while limiting risk.

Options University also has an exclusive and lively Gold Membership site which you join by clicking here.


 

 

The gold market is one that involves a lot of emotion as well as plenty of money. You need to keep a close eye on the gold market trends and gold prices but most of all you have to have a solid game plan to trade gold successfully.

Watch the following short  video for an update on the gold market and how to take the emotion out of trading gold while taking money out of the market…

In this video you will see Adam Hewison’s gold market analysis.

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14 May 2010

In euro trading news the Eurozone took yet another pounding yesterday as rigorous fiscal tightening threatens to dampen an already weak recovery. Eurodollar has crashed to 14 month lows of $1.25 after boosting to nearly $1.31 on Monday after the $1 trillion emergency rescue package was announced.

News from one of the “PIGS”, Portugal is attempting to cut €2 bn from its budget gap. This has done little to reduce the weakness in the Euro and with more tax hikes and salary cuts due, we could see ugly scenes like those witnessed from Greece. ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet has stated the ECB is not “embarking on quantitative easing” and he reiterated that “the Governing Council will not tolerate inflation” leading to speculation a rise in interest rates could be on the horizon.

Sterling has also taken a hit this morning with news that the new coalition has already come to loggerheads. With two political parties with separate agendas leading the country, a schedule for cutting the deficit will take longer to agree and with the credit agencies hovering, a negative outlook over the UK will remain. A cut in the UK’s prized AAA credit rating would have disastrous consequences to the recovery. Data released yesterday showing the UK’s trade deficit widened more than expected, damaged hopes for an export led resurgence.

The dollar has been the main winner from the negative news from Europe as investors run for their “safe haven”. The greenback has also been supported by encouraging figures from the US and expectations that the FED will be the first among the major central banks to raise interest rates. The main focus from today will be the release of April’s retail sales as Obama and Co look for fuel to extend the rally. Also released today is the University of Michigan’s Industrial production consumer sentiment survey.

Report by Report by Tim Lewis

Currency Market Updates by Tom Nadir

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New UK PM, David Cameron finally entered Downing Street last night after days of behind the scenes deal making. Mr Clegg has secured the deputy prime minister post and several other prominent cabinet positions for his team including a business/banking role for Vince Cable. Changes to the voting system were also part of the deal and can be seen as the major issue conceded by the Conservatives in forming the alliance.

Quite how this full coalition will work out after the honeymoon period is far from clear and may explain Sterling’s slightly muted reaction this morning. The markets now wait to see details on the immediate reduction of the Government deficit. The Sterling rally may not last long if the new Government cannot decide on the swift policy responses that the market thinks is required.

After the bounce on Monday from the EU/IMF rescue package, the euro is now trading lower as the details of the deal are digested. The general impression we now have is that although the size of the deal is unprecedented, the further you get into the details, the less impressive it seems.

It does not seem to address the root problem – namely that Eurozone countries need to deliver drastic spending cuts. The rescue package may just be pushing the problem further down the line. Another point to consider is that €750 bln may not go that far if a country like Spain were to get into real trouble – which would then almost certainly drag Italy & Portugal down as well and the cupboard would be well and truly bare.

A quiet day for the Dollar yesterday but the USD continues to trade higher across the board as general risk aversion continues. Today Mervyn King gives his quarterly inflation report – expect him to further talk down the Pound. The key economic data out today is Eurozone GDP figure and UK jobless claims, we also have speeches from Fed members this evening to look out for.

Report by Alistair Cotton

Currency Market Updates by Tom Nadir

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